PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

dobrelya

0x90a4fa2fc834d4358ec43eba038492e3e02d6eac

Realised P&L
$-187.80
Volume
$12.8k
Markets traded
235
Open portfolio
$234.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded235
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.7060.971$68.79+$18.79
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or higher on October 5? · No0.9151.000$37.91+$3.19
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 5? · Yes0.5061.000$15.41+$7.61
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 5? · Yes0.3301.000$15.14+$10.14
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 5? · Yes0.3791.000$13.17+$8.17
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 5? · No0.8790.893$10.16+$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 5? · No0.5001.000$9.99+$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 5? · Yes0.5901.000$8.47+$3.47
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 5? · Yes0.6100.994$8.14+$3.14
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 5? · No0.6801.000$7.35+$2.35
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 5? · Yes0.7000.885$6.32+$1.32
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 5? · No0.8101.000$6.17+$1.17
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 5? · No0.8401.000$5.95+$0.95
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.4700.655$5.89+$1.67
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C on October 5? · No0.9421.000$5.31+$0.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 20:00Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 5?BUY0.2899999842$4.05
10-05 19:00Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 5?BUY0.1799999916$2.58
10-05 18:00Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 5?BUY0.699999972$5.00
10-05 17:00Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 5?BUY0.8661147668$5.00
10-05 17:00Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 5?BUY0.8399999933$5.00
10-05 16:00Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 5?BUY0.3899999945$5.00
10-05 16:00Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 5?BUY0.4799999843$4.88
10-05 16:00Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 5?BUY0.8929998634$5.00
10-05 16:00Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 5?BUY0.3799999924$5.00
10-05 16:00Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 5?BUY0.8399999933$5.00
10-05 14:00Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or higher on October 5?BUY0.936$5.00
10-05 14:00Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 5?BUY0.4199999966$5.00
10-05 14:00Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 5?BUY0.8399999933$5.00
10-05 14:00Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 5?BUY0.8399999933$5.00
10-05 13:00Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 5?BUY0.6099999488$5.00