0x90a0735BA7895c0DD9ABeA20FAaD5a0e1C22544b-1723401597182
0x90a0735ba7895c0dd9abea20faad5a0e1c22544b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $51.3k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $40.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$894.01at 0.532Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$98.61at 0.481Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$78.17at 0.3802024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
- +$7.20at 0.760US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
- +$-16.00at 0.004Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 17:49 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 06-29 17:49 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 06-29 17:49 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 06-29 17:48 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 06-29 17:48 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.032 | $13.12 |
| 05-05 03:58 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.031 | $7.75 |
| 05-05 03:56 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.031 | $7.75 |
| 04-29 19:42 | No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.44 |
| 04-29 19:30 | No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.031 | $3.45 |
| 03-23 20:53 | US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | BUY | 0.76 | $22.80 |
| 03-20 18:28 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.21 | $21.00 |
| 03-18 21:16 | No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.278 | $29.12 |
| 03-18 21:16 | No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.269 | $1.35 |
| 03-18 21:15 | No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2647287748 | $10.41 |
| 03-18 21:15 | No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.265 | $1.50 |