0x909c2933037911155865250C519aE8Bc9677cCa1-1761652445329
0x909c2933037911155865250c519ae8bc9677cca1
- Realised P&L
- $802.87
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $31.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USDS depeg by December 31? · No | 0.920 | 0.942 | $18.84 | +$0.44 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.928 | 1.000 | $12.80 | +$0.92 |
| Hornets vs. Nets · Nets | 0.092 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.00 |
| Warriors vs. Wizards · Wizards | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$93.15 |
| Thunder vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.82 |
| Nets vs. Kings · Nets | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$72.60 |
| Knicks vs. Thunder · Knicks | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.75 |
| Spurs vs. Bucks · Bucks | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.38 |
| Lakers vs. Magic · Magic | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$74.34 |
| Bulls vs. Wizards · Wizards | 0.347 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.00 |
| Pacers vs. Nets · Nets | 0.397 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$351.00 |
| 76ers vs. Kings · Kings | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$117.60 |
| Raptors vs. Bulls · Bulls | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$582.00at 0.407Pistons vs. Hornets
- +$232.80at 0.607Timberwolves vs. Pistons
- +$174.60at 0.407Pistons vs. Magic
- +$160.05at 0.677Timberwolves vs. Magic
- +$135.98at 0.479Raptors vs. Pelicans
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 09:25 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.928 | $11.88 |
| 08-25 09:51 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.793 | $10.07 |
| 08-25 09:51 | Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.951 | $19.02 |
| 07-29 07:18 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.874 | $11.10 |
| 07-29 07:00 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $19.11 |
| 06-30 09:50 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $18.27 |
| 06-24 09:42 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.959 | $25.22 |
| 05-23 08:57 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.949 | $24.96 |
| 05-23 07:10 | Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? | SELL | 0.8332298137 | $134.15 |
| 04-18 09:33 | Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.71 | $279.06 |
| 04-10 08:55 | Pistons vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.4 | $385.60 |
| 04-09 10:16 | Pacers vs. Nets | BUY | 0.39 | $338.15 |
| 04-08 10:23 | Timberwolves vs. Magic | BUY | 0.67 | $328.37 |
| 04-07 08:09 | Bulls vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.34 | $48.98 |
| 04-06 10:48 | Pistons vs. Magic | BUY | 0.4 | $115.68 |