0x9097fbfe62c406ae714848e0a8bbe71c7cd885fc
0x9097fbfe62c406ae714848e0a8bbe71c7cd885fc
- Realised P&L
- $-113.60
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $78.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.26at 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
- +$62.45at 0.167Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11AM ET
- +$42.59at 0.432Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7AM ET
- +$35.49at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
- +$14.00at 0.627Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 18:11 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.73 | $4.95 |
| 10-05 17:11 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.62 | $5.04 |
| 10-05 17:11 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.2574489796 | $5.05 |
| 10-05 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.2558937824 | $3.95 |
| 10-05 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 10-05 14:05 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-05 13:41 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.6 | $5.28 |
| 10-05 12:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.3 | $5.05 |
| 10-05 11:15 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.78 | $4.83 |
| 10-05 11:11 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.79 | $4.91 |
| 10-05 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 10-05 10:14 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.67 | $4.78 |
| 10-05 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.28 | $4.92 |
| 10-05 09:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.28 | $4.61 |
| 10-05 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.29 | $4.77 |