strengthinnumbers
0x909503aed1e740374ea2aefe2f98d9dce99896f7
- Realised P&L
- $-10.9k
- Volume
- $670.4k
- Markets traded
- 567
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded567
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.407Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
- +$3.1kat 0.407Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?
- +$1.9kat 0.654Bitcoin Up or Down on August 11?
- +$1.6kat 0.443Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10?
- +$1.6kat 0.584Bitcoin Up or Down on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 17:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.51 | $48.11 |
| 10-03 17:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.51 | $9.62 |
| 10-03 17:35 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.73 |
| 10-03 17:34 | Solana Up or Down on October 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.65 |
| 10-03 12:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 3? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 12:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 3? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.69 |
| 10-02 20:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? | SELL | 0.77 | $77.00 |
| 10-02 20:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? | SELL | 0.66 | $66.00 |
| 10-02 15:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 2? | SELL | 0.2189 | $65.67 |
| 10-02 14:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.679 | $33.95 |
| 10-02 09:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 2? | SELL | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 10-02 07:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.68 | $67.99 |
| 10-02 06:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.967 | $29.01 |
| 10-02 03:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.2437501563 | $58.50 |
| 10-01 17:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 1? | SELL | 0.5164808802 | $278.37 |