fr0gg1
0x907fbb06bc3ef82d1050ce281b4541bd9cfb4080
- Realised P&L
- $39.49
- Volume
- $412.28
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $28.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.24at 0.096Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?
- +$21.03at 0.201Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?
- +$17.35at 0.233Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 15?
- +$13.97at 0.273Ethereum Up or Down on October 18?
- +$6.24at 0.620Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 05:00 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 on October 20? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 04:59 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 04:59 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on October 20? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 04:58 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 04:57 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 04:56 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 04:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 04:55 | Dogecoin Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 09:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 09:55 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 18? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 09:54 | Solana Up or Down on October 18? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 09:54 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 18? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 09:54 | XRP Up or Down on October 18? | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 09:52 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19? | BUY | 0.6499999951 | $20.00 |
| 10-15 06:22 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $15.00 |