PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fr0gg1

0x907fbb06bc3ef82d1050ce281b4541bd9cfb4080

Realised P&L
$39.49
Volume
$412.28
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$28.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Dogecoin Up or Down on October 20? · Down0.3300.450$6.82+$1.82
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 on October 20? · No0.2600.210$4.04−$0.96
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on October 20? · Yes0.4700.365$3.88−$1.12
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20? · Up0.6000.430$3.58−$1.42
Ethereum Up or Down on October 20? · Up0.7300.420$2.88−$2.12
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? · Up0.5900.310$2.63−$2.37
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 20? · Up0.5500.265$2.41−$2.59
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 20? · Up0.5100.190$1.86−$3.14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 14? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$5.00
Solana Up or Down on October 14? · Up0.4500.000$0.00−$5.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15? · Down0.6300.000$0.00−$15.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 13? · Up0.6000.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13? · Yes0.2560.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 14? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00−$5.00
Solana Up or Down on October 18? · Up0.6900.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 05:00Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 on October 20?BUY0.2599999896$5.00
10-20 04:59Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 20?BUY0.5099999776$5.00
10-20 04:59Will Google (GOOGL) close above $345 on October 20?BUY0.4699999944$5.00
10-20 04:58Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 20?BUY0.549999956$5.00
10-20 04:57S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?BUY0.599999976$5.00
10-20 04:56Ethereum Up or Down on October 20?BUY0.7299999679$5.00
10-20 04:56Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?BUY0.5899999705$5.00
10-20 04:55Dogecoin Up or Down on October 20?BUY0.3299999815$5.00
10-18 09:55Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?BUY0.0899999993$5.00
10-18 09:55Ethereum Up or Down on October 18?BUY0.2599999896$5.00
10-18 09:54Solana Up or Down on October 18?BUY0.6899999821$5.00
10-18 09:54Ethereum Up or Down on October 18?BUY0.7699999877$5.00
10-18 09:54XRP Up or Down on October 18?BUY0.7599999696$5.00
10-18 09:52S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?BUY0.6499999951$20.00
10-15 06:22S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?BUY0.629999995$15.00