parvingbkifc
0x907d4bdffd8ebfae41bec2bde7c6b743c9647d45
- Realised P&L
- $-14.5k
- Volume
- $81.7k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $166.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-17.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.1kat 0.480Knicks vs. 76ers
- +$2.4kat 0.760Thunder vs. Lakers
- +$990.00at 0.550Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$433.52at 0.457Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
- +$260.44at 0.750Suns vs. Thunder
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 02:14 | UFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.76 | $76.76 |
| 07-29 07:06 | UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Urbina vs. Vlasto Cepo (Middleweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.74 | $66.60 |
| 07-19 14:32 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.257 | $52.17 |
| 07-06 13:54 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.66 | $5.2k |
| 06-18 01:18 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.21 | $37.80 |
| 06-07 00:57 | San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.53 | $742.00 |
| 06-02 03:06 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.45 | $359.55 |
| 05-16 12:23 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.88 | $33.44 |
| 05-12 01:12 | Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.707 | $71.41 |
| 05-11 12:29 | Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.815 | $83.13 |
| 05-10 13:07 | Spurs vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.64 | $51.97 |
| 04-30 08:40 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.954 | $0.48 |
| 04-28 15:52 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $149.70 |
| 04-27 00:48 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.967 | $37.45 |
| 04-20 03:28 | Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.994 | $37.76 |