0x906A18BDff23a7Ff80F26b3A99CfE3973E177234-1768932283419
0x906a18bdff23a7ff80f26b3a99cfe3973e177234
- Realised P&L
- $-3.09
- Volume
- $652.80
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $34.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.70at 0.669France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
- +$5.52at 0.830NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
- +$4.26at 0.850Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?
- +$3.28at 0.740Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
- +$2.00at 0.913Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 16:25 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.0419999987 | $1.14 |
| 09-08 16:25 | Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.02 |
| 09-07 00:25 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $4.00 |
| 09-07 00:24 | Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? | SELL | 0.961 | $2.10 |
| 09-07 00:23 | Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? | SELL | 0.86 | $0.98 |
| 09-07 00:22 | Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? | SELL | 0.961 | $1.06 |
| 09-03 14:23 | Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or SPD? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.37 |
| 09-03 14:22 | Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series? | BUY | 0.9209999945 | $4.50 |
| 09-03 14:10 | Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8629999482 | $15.00 |
| 09-03 14:05 | Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County? | BUY | 0.9309999939 | $7.90 |
| 09-03 14:03 | Will The Left win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.9649999614 | $15.00 |
| 09-03 13:59 | Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten? | BUY | 0.9099999177 | $8.51 |
| 09-03 13:57 | Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? | BUY | 0.8699999915 | $7.20 |
| 09-03 13:55 | Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? | BUY | 0.8599999242 | $7.03 |
| 09-03 13:53 | Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? | SELL | 0.993 | $24.86 |