PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x905f1e9088c4fac496ff87f8e2930385663fa2da

Realised P&L
$180.55
Volume
$9.9k
Markets traded
1,224
Open portfolio
$14.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,224
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on September 21? · Yes0.0850.140$3.10+$1.23
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 20? · Yes0.3400.455$2.03+$0.51
Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September? · Yes0.9200.900$1.88$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 20? · Yes0.1900.250$1.82+$0.44
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 21? · Yes0.2610.290$1.61+$0.16
Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September? · Yes0.5600.615$1.25+$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 21? · Yes0.4100.355$1.17$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 21? · Yes0.1700.105$0.91$0.56
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 20? · Yes0.0880.040$0.88$1.04
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on September 19? · Yes0.1030.001$0.01$2.20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 19? · Yes0.3200.001$0.00$1.44
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 22? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$1.24
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 25? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$1.20
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on April 27? · Yes0.2790.000$0.00$12.84
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 4? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$1.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 01:59Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?BUY0.5599998035$1.14
09-20 01:59Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 21?BUY0.4099999909$1.35
09-20 01:59Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on September 21?BUY0.0845728609$1.87
09-20 00:33Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 21?BUY0.2608087229$1.45
09-20 00:32Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?BUY0.9199997892$1.92
09-20 00:32Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 21?BUY0.1699999965$1.47
09-19 00:06Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 20?BUY0.3399999418$1.52
09-19 00:06Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 20?BUY0.1899999972$1.38
09-19 00:06Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.0877157356$1.92
09-18 08:31Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on September 19?BUY0.1029953806$2.21
09-18 00:39Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 19?BUY0.32$1.44
09-18 00:39Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 19?BUY0.3099999526$1.44
09-18 00:38Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.3099999336$1.40
09-18 00:38Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.1$1.69
09-17 07:50Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 18?BUY0.2799999639$1.24