0x905f1e9088c4fac496ff87f8e2930385663fa2da
- Realised P&L
- $180.55
- Volume
- $9.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,224
- Open portfolio
- $14.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,224
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.17at 0.285Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on April 4?
- +$55.02at 0.334Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 5?
- +$29.86at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on April 19?
- +$29.18at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 21?
- +$24.03at 0.306Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 01:59 | Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September? | BUY | 0.5599998035 | $1.14 |
| 09-20 01:59 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.4099999909 | $1.35 |
| 09-20 01:59 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0845728609 | $1.87 |
| 09-20 00:33 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.2608087229 | $1.45 |
| 09-20 00:32 | Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September? | BUY | 0.9199997892 | $1.92 |
| 09-20 00:32 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.1699999965 | $1.47 |
| 09-19 00:06 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3399999418 | $1.52 |
| 09-19 00:06 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.1899999972 | $1.38 |
| 09-19 00:06 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.0877157356 | $1.92 |
| 09-18 08:31 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.1029953806 | $2.21 |
| 09-18 00:39 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.44 |
| 09-18 00:39 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.3099999526 | $1.44 |
| 09-18 00:38 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.3099999336 | $1.40 |
| 09-18 00:38 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.69 |
| 09-17 07:50 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.2799999639 | $1.24 |