0x90537B41634cBfee98b20d6b79eb3Bc8E204Fb1C-1782458239718
0x90537b41634cbfee98b20d6b79eb3bc8e204fb1c
- Realised P&L
- $449.39
- Volume
- $16.1k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $184.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$253.29at 0.163Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?
- +$147.20at 0.142Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 27?
- +$54.37at 0.140Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4?
- +$48.04at 0.085Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 19?
- +$31.50at 0.370Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.6 | $30.00 |
| 08-05 06:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.08 | $5.36 |
| 08-03 17:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.6 | $43.00 |
| 08-03 02:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.10 |
| 08-01 07:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.0700906304 | $10.52 |
| 08-01 07:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 08-01 07:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.1424501425 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 04:27 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.05 | $4.00 |
| 07-30 11:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.0146618644 | $1.73 |
| 07-30 11:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.0316666667 | $2.66 |
| 07-26 04:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 26? | SELL | 0.6557078539 | $13.11 |
| 07-25 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 25? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.54 |
| 07-25 01:25 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 25? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 07-25 01:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 25? | SELL | 0.0411280316 | $3.65 |