AMGG1983
0x904d9c2d8036303adc0fb0c986f984f29ddf7af2
- Realised P&L
- $161.11
- Volume
- $104.2k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $129.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.048 | $129.28 | −$6.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$159.19at 0.514Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
- +$58.58at 0.776Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
- +$38.28at 0.727Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
- +$-106.90at 0.001Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 12:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | BUY | 0.7128042403 | $100.00 |
| 08-17 12:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $46.41 |
| 08-17 12:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $53.59 |
| 08-10 19:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | SELL | 0.9148254457 | $368.44 |
| 08-10 19:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 08-10 19:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4932425767 | $100.00 |
| 08-10 19:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $259.17 |
| 08-10 19:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.7005426719 | $100.00 |
| 08-10 19:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.839999999 | $100.00 |
| 08-09 15:41 | Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.050758765 | $100.00 |
| 08-09 15:24 | Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.048 | $13.95 |