PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Carlinghdf

0x904a4abc2f5ed9d67fed9eaae47d04d909853d8e

Realised P&L
$34.83
Volume
$14.1k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$0.49

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration72.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0320.030$0.49$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 07:53Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?SELL0.05$50.50
07-30 07:16Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$23.50
07-15 04:03Will Riz Ahmed – “Bait” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?SELL0.82$24.60
07-11 08:15Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.178$23.67
07-11 08:03Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.179$23.81
07-11 05:55Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?SELL0.9235358633$70.82
07-11 04:15Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?BUY0.922$328.23
05-30 05:13US military draft authorized in 2026?SELL0.08$130.40
05-28 08:59Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?BUY0.9$141.30
05-28 07:47Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?SELL0.08$0.72
05-28 07:46Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?SELL0.09$138.06
05-28 06:21Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?BUY0.09$0.72
05-28 06:19Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?SELL0.081$4.70
05-28 06:18Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?SELL0.081$61.56
05-28 06:18Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?SELL0.081$56.70