PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

youngT

0x904a2c69ddfac350d3b0bd513401a338e794b6ce

Realised P&L
$-455.53
Volume
$20.8k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$0.19

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Greece win the UEFA EURO 2028? · Yes0.0070.012$0.19+$0.08
Will Apple say "Formula 1 / F1" during earnings call? · No0.4200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Greece win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship? · Yes0.1280.000$0.00−$30.48
Will Apple say "Wearable" during earnings call? · No0.2800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$9.99
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-10-01? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Panathinaikos AKTOR win the 2025 EuroLeague? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$6.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 22? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$5.80
Will Apple say "The Studio" during earnings call? · No0.5900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Finland win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00−$1.48
Will Apple say "Apple Pay" during earnings call? · No0.7400.000$0.00−$1.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27? · No0.0240.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Apple say "Siri" during earnings call? · No0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Apple say "Apple Intelligence" during earnings call? · No0.0580.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Apple say "Manufacturing" during earnings call? · No0.4700.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 15:32Will Greece win the UEFA EURO 2028?BUY0.007$0.11
07-27 00:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?BUY0.023988006$10.00
05-16 17:12Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.001$10.00
05-16 17:00Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.056$2.97
12-22 15:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 22?BUY0.0241268574$5.80
12-22 15:11Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?SELL0.43$0.63
12-22 15:11Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the San Antonio Spurs?SELL0.933$0.94
12-22 15:11Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Toronto Raptors?SELL0.952$0.99
12-22 15:11Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Los Angeles Lakers?SELL0.961$1.02
12-22 15:11Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Atlanta Hawks?SELL0.959$1.06
12-22 15:11Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?SELL0.86$1.17
12-08 20:44Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the San Antonio Spurs?BUY0.99$1.00
12-08 20:44Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Toronto Raptors?BUY0.9559999694$1.00
12-08 20:43Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Los Angeles Lakers?BUY0.9369999869$1.00
12-08 20:43Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Atlanta Hawks?BUY0.9$1.00