0x9037ea0ac41eea904ad11ab7471acdf4311a9196
- Realised P&L
- $4.66
- Volume
- $21.36
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $6.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar21.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.515 | $4.86 | +$0.14 |
| Valencia: Nastasja Schunk vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela · Irene Burillo Escorihuela | 0.500 | 0.355 | $1.82 | −$0.74 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians · Chicago White Sox | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.84 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs · Atlanta Braves | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.56 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.72 |
| New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins · New York Yankees | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.54at 0.361Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs
- +$2.80at 0.642Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva
- +$2.17at 0.500Tiburon: Sebastian Gorzny vs Nishesh Basavareddy
- +$2.04at 0.500Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 01:07 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.35 | $1.94 |
| 09-16 00:08 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.23 | $1.84 |
| 09-15 20:44 | Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva | BUY | 0.63 | $4.92 |