skembinator
0x9030cd617fd95307d5121d065c9d37864119cf12
- Realised P&L
- $10.3k
- Volume
- $2.29M
- Markets traded
- 1,036
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,036
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tottenham Hotspur qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? · No | 0.801 | 0.931 | $523.64 | +$73.12 |
| Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · No | 0.412 | 0.465 | $418.50 | +$47.90 |
| Will Tottenham finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? · No | 0.821 | 0.840 | $176.40 | +$4.00 |
| Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-19? · No | 0.560 | 0.580 | $17.40 | +$0.60 |
| Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Chelsea FC O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.830 | 0.815 | $16.30 | −$0.30 |
| Canucks vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$96.10 |
| Rangers vs. Devils · Rangers | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$285.20 |
| Spread: Texas State (-13.5) · Colorado State | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$237.60 |
| Will Union Magdalena win on 2026-10-15? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
| Canucks vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.518 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$238.20 |
| Canucks vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5 · Over | 0.422 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$190.00 |
| Sabres vs. Maple Leafs · Maple Leafs | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.60 |
| Spread: Panthers (-1.5) · Panthers | 0.226 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$109.00 |
| Spread: Devils (-1.5) · Rangers | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$227.20 |
| Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.8kat 0.370Eagles vs. Bears
- +$6.2kat 0.537Spread: Rams (-3.5)
- +$5.0kat 0.537Spread: Commanders (-3.5)
- +$4.6kat 0.567Vikings vs. Saints
- +$4.3kat 0.510Spread: Ohio State (-14.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 02:11 | Flames vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.84 | $512.40 |
| 10-16 01:42 | Spread: Wild (-1.5) | BUY | 0.18 | $1.55 |
| 10-16 01:42 | Spread: Wild (-1.5) | BUY | 0.18 | $36.00 |
| 10-16 00:39 | Sabres vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.58 | $69.60 |
| 10-16 00:39 | Sabres vs. Maple Leafs | BUY | 0.7299999977 | $66.60 |
| 10-16 00:31 | Canucks vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.18 | $27.00 |
| 10-16 00:31 | Canucks vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.27 | $43.20 |
| 10-16 00:16 | Flyers vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.71 | $21.30 |
| 10-16 00:02 | Spread: Panthers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.15 | $42.00 |
| 10-15 23:45 | Canucks vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $108.00 |
| 10-15 23:30 | Rangers vs. Devils: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.32 | $48.00 |
| 10-15 23:29 | Spread: Devils (-1.5) | BUY | 0.71 | $227.20 |
| 10-15 23:29 | Rangers vs. Devils: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.32 | $19.20 |
| 10-15 23:29 | Rangers vs. Devils: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.32 | $13.20 |
| 10-15 23:29 | Rangers vs. Devils: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.32 | $6.21 |