0x90250aF09CBc3302CEE86C434c404d3ca5BFD2Cc-1758731742118
0x90250af09cbc3302cee86c434c404d3ca5bfd2cc
- Realised P&L
- $-334.85
- Volume
- $109.3k
- Markets traded
- 989
- Open portfolio
- $430.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded989
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$251.79at 0.108Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
- +$206.93at 0.449Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$168.98at 0.249Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
- +$156.40at 0.300LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)
- +$104.62at 0.497Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 02:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $7.00 |
| 10-31 02:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $191.81 |
| 10-30 05:14 | Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.97 | $7.76 |
| 10-29 17:07 | Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.977 | $45.92 |
| 10-29 17:06 | Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.977 | $44.94 |
| 10-29 17:06 | Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.976 | $29.28 |
| 10-29 17:05 | Cambria FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.989 | $36.98 |
| 10-29 16:59 | Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.94 | $87.96 |
| 10-29 15:52 | Cambria FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.98 | $70.15 |
| 10-29 15:52 | Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 10-29 15:51 | Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.97 | $32.98 |
| 10-28 17:58 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9739999964 | $6.00 |
| 09-18 14:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $143.89 |
| 09-18 14:20 | Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | SELL | 0.73 | $19.69 |
| 09-18 14:20 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.078 | $7.02 |