PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Bigmarltoe

0x90208fb5dc9cdf55bd547ad12a8a3a657e7cf943

Realised P&L
$-87.10
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$742.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration93.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.8200.964$587.50+$87.50
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.8100.935$115.49+$15.49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8290.954$23.00+$3.00
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%? · Yes0.4840.159$9.86$20.14
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · No0.7701.000$6.49+$1.49
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1970.000$0.00$110.00
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.7600.000$0.00$50.00
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? · No0.6700.000$0.00$20.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? · No0.4500.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-04 14:53Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.7699999877$5.00
06-29 13:53Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.4499999797$10.00
06-22 14:31Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1979999984$100.00
06-18 02:48Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1849999851$10.00
03-12 04:08Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?BUY0.669999995$20.00
03-08 03:33Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?BUY0.483748571$30.00
03-07 03:05Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.8290009672$20.00
01-17 06:10Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?SELL0.06$6.00
01-15 10:51China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.759999997$50.00
01-14 02:05Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?BUY0.8899999996$20.00
01-13 10:35Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?SELL0.18$21.13
01-11 02:09China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.8099999993$100.00
01-11 02:04Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.2299999968$50.00
01-08 04:01Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.48$33.21
09-04 14:11Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.8199999988$500.00