0x902038fd319d00aeba3827aa27463bb8bbcfc77b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.67
- Volume
- $11.31
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $4.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.770 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.765 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.745 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.625 | $0.78 | −$0.22 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $178 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.080 | $0.36 | −$0.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.01at 0.730Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 19:32 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 10:53 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 02:24 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 02:24 | Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 18:23 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $178 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 10:22 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |