stimulating
0x9014ca77a5014887ccecaf3df1a0ff0b54ffe637
- Realised P&L
- $-13.45
- Volume
- $37.3k
- Markets traded
- 140
- Open portfolio
- $53.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded140
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 8? · Up | 0.411 | 1.000 | $53.86 | +$31.69 |
| Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 8? · Down | 0.382 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$0.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.87at 0.213Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 22?
- +$43.91at 0.311Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 1?
- +$40.13at 0.557Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on August 28?
- +$38.18at 0.556Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on September 16?
- +$35.26at 0.393Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 17:48 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 8? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.69 |
| 10-06 19:35 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 6? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 10-06 06:25 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.33 | $14.13 |
| 10-05 19:19 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 5? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.30 |
| 10-05 19:17 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 5? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.20 |
| 10-05 19:07 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 5? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 10-05 18:14 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 5? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 10-05 16:26 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 5? | SELL | 0.57 | $4.60 |
| 10-02 19:45 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 2? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 10-02 12:30 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 2? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 09-30 19:38 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on September 30? | SELL | 0.007672496 | $0.05 |
| 09-30 19:35 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on September 30? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.06 |
| 09-30 19:24 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on September 30? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.20 |
| 09-30 15:24 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on September 30? | SELL | 0.5 | $3.12 |
| 09-28 19:39 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on September 28? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |