stimulating
0x9014ca77a5014887ccecaf3df1a0ff0b54ffe637
- Realised P&L
- $-169.18
- Volume
- $29.4k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $1.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on August 5? · Up | 0.868 | 0.990 | $1.70 | +$0.21 |
| Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on August 5? · Down | 0.320 | 0.011 | $0.06 | −$1.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.87at 0.213Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 22?
- +$43.91at 0.311Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 1?
- +$35.36at 0.392Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 6?
- +$30.06at 0.528Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 9?
- +$27.71at 0.290Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on March 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 13:38 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.09 |
| 08-05 13:31 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.85 | $9.78 |
| 08-04 13:31 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.75 |
| 08-04 12:12 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 10:33 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 08:46 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 08-03 18:05 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on August 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-03 18:04 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on August 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-03 17:35 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on August 3? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.13 |
| 07-31 19:39 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-31 19:20 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 31? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.38 |
| 07-30 20:21 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.93 |
| 07-30 18:02 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 30? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.44 |
| 07-29 14:09 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 29? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.45 |
| 07-28 18:51 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on July 28? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |