PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ivanx4k

0x900e3c7bc26b51dfd607cd152e8ffadbe11aa4d3

Realised P&L
$-653.91
Volume
$3.51M
Markets traded
1,022
Open portfolio
$582.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,022
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manchester City FC vs. AEK end in a draw? · No0.9200.915$137.25−$0.75
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.9500.951$95.05+$0.05
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? · No0.7900.785$94.20−$0.60
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.9200.930$93.00+$1.00
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9000.885$88.50−$1.50
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? · No0.7900.845$42.25+$2.75
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-20? · Yes0.1500.145$16.53−$0.57
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.7100.785$6.15+$0.59
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2300.053$5.30−$17.70
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9610.949$4.61−$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 21:27Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?SELL0.4460022727$9.81
10-10 00:56Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?BUY0.98$5.00
09-19 14:29Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?SELL0.93$14.09
09-11 15:23Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?BUY0.984$8.43
09-05 16:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.7$3.50
09-04 16:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSELL0.6850909091$37.68
09-01 21:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETSELL0.26$13.00
08-31 20:51Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETSELL0.65$35.75
08-31 20:50Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETBUY0.46$25.30
08-31 16:25Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.47$23.50
08-30 21:54Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?SELL0.7171896214$1.1k
08-30 21:40Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?SELL0.989$1.5k
08-26 22:12Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.849$10.23
08-26 00:45Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.55$30.25
08-24 00:28Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.69$37.95