0x67B8625af0A407Fdf8885f1722795D98dC0Fbe78-1776242014765
0x900698fd60fc9c38bc73b1c825217b4a40418064
- Realised P&L
- $-229.02
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 522
- Open portfolio
- $20.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded522
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11? · No | 0.607 | 0.625 | $4.69 | +$0.14 |
| Will Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? · No | 0.710 | 0.735 | $3.68 | +$0.13 |
| Will Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? · No | 0.710 | 0.725 | $3.63 | +$0.08 |
| Will Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? · No | 0.700 | 0.715 | $3.58 | +$0.08 |
| Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? · No | 0.700 | 0.715 | $3.58 | +$0.08 |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-11? · No | 0.610 | 0.635 | $1.63 | +$0.06 |
| Baltimore Orioles winning after 5 innings? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.91 |
| Will Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.71at 0.760Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-05?
- +$37.11at 0.329Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?
- +$31.32at 0.480Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?
- +$28.71at 0.428Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
- +$26.49at 0.340Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 17:52 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? | SELL | 0.54 | $20.25 |
| 06-28 22:00 | Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.86 | $4.31 |
| 06-27 00:02 | Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 06-24 00:09 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 06-24 00:09 | Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.77 | $3.86 |
| 06-23 20:09 | Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 06-23 03:54 | Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.51 | $2.56 |
| 06-23 02:13 | Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.6 | $3.01 |
| 06-23 01:43 | Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 06-21 22:58 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.55 | $2.76 |
| 06-21 19:33 | Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.6 | $3.01 |
| 06-21 18:03 | Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 06-21 03:28 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 06-21 03:13 | Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 06-21 02:43 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |