leren
0x9003dc85d63c9a7c9dc358c5881af5ffdfd48937
- Realised P&L
- $-381.48
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $23.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spurs (-1.5) · Spurs | 0.480 | 0.465 | $23.25 | −$0.75 |
| Lakers vs. Kings · Kings | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.00 |
| Bulls vs. Jazz · Bulls | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$128.00 |
| Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5 · Under | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.60 |
| Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 219.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.60 |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) · Thunder | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) · Heat | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.48 |
| Hawks vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Heat vs. Suns: O/U 230.5 · Over | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$180.00 |
| Spread: Bulls (-5.5) · Bulls | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.30 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? · No | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.50 |
| Team World vs. Team USA Stars · Team World | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.90 |
| Miami vs. SMU Mustangs · Miami | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.20at 0.380Ducks vs. Panthers
- +$64.50at 0.570Steelers vs. Chargers
- +$53.00at 0.470Oilers vs. Hurricanes
- +$40.00at 0.800Lakers vs. Pelicans
- +$36.00at 0.640Penguins vs. Devils
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-15 13:16 | Spread: Celtics (-2.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $12.48 |
| 12-05 12:48 | Spread: Bulls (-5.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $42.30 |
| 11-30 06:11 | Hawks vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 11-15 03:19 | Oilers vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.47 | $47.00 |
| 11-08 06:24 | Penguins vs. Devils | BUY | 0.64 | $64.00 |
| 10-28 13:07 | Ducks vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.38 | $41.80 |
| 10-26 11:55 | Lakers vs. Kings | BUY | 0.44 | $44.00 |
| 10-26 11:09 | Knicks vs. Heat | BUY | 0.42 | $8.59 |