debtsomuchdebt
0x8ff3e811462117c836d451717286b1383f3faa8d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $155.9k
- Markets traded
- 651
- Open portfolio
- $157.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded651
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$476.57at 0.101Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 22?
- +$288.28at 0.722Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 25?
- +$212.91at 0.765Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 23?
- +$165.66at 0.085Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 2?
- +$158.38at 0.097Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 08:22 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.998999981 | $28.43 |
| 10-03 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.20 |
| 10-03 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.972 | $9.72 |
| 10-03 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 10-03 07:34 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.997 | $24.93 |
| 10-03 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.81 | $1.03 |
| 10-03 07:03 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 06:19 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-03 05:52 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.995 | $9.95 |
| 10-03 05:52 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 10-03 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on October 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 10-03 05:49 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.23 |
| 10-03 05:49 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 10-03 03:59 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.994 | $9.94 |
| 10-03 02:56 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |