0x8FF3B847a78F484C8FaCC2Ec1a82199db14313c5-1734339590390
0x8ff3b847a78f484c8facc2ec1a82199db14313c5
- Realised P&L
- $20.08
- Volume
- $7.4k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $29.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 22? · Yes | 0.996 | 0.993 | $29.99 | −$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.12at 0.680Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
- +$0.21at 0.995Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
- +$0.20at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 12?
- +$0.19at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 18?
- +$0.17at 0.994Will GERB-SDS (GERB–SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 06:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 22? | BUY | 0.996 | $30.10 |
| 10-18 22:07 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999748 | $30.00 |
| 10-17 15:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.995 | $40.60 |
| 10-12 04:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.9949999823 | $41.80 |
| 10-11 12:32 | Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.00 |
| 10-07 16:13 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $14.00 |
| 10-07 05:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $41.00 |
| 10-04 23:09 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.00 |
| 10-02 18:49 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9982052537 | $41.80 |
| 09-30 07:30 | Will Solana dip to $90 in September? | BUY | 0.9979999416 | $15.00 |
| 09-26 02:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 26? | BUY | 0.9969999914 | $28.00 |
| 09-25 16:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 26? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.70 |
| 09-24 06:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 24? | BUY | 0.997 | $40.70 |
| 09-24 00:30 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $12.00 |
| 09-20 10:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9969999837 | $23.00 |