PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mistertuna

0x8febe0c389f5992b5fba544e9e63aa0997f68908

Realised P&L
$-6.7k
Volume
$92.6k
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$755.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.5300.915$366.00+$154.00
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.7370.102$201.88$1.3k
OKX IPO in 2026? · Yes0.1710.055$131.32$277.63
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7450.064$33.60$357.62
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1800.038$23.10$84.90
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B · NRG0.5610.000$0.00$224.40
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31? · Yes0.3480.000$0.00$108.00
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner · Alcaraz0.3800.000$0.00$76.00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$440.00
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.6000.000$0.00$600.13
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) · Patriots0.5000.000$0.00$500.00
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO1) · PARIVISION0.5010.000$0.00$175.50
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? · Yes0.6260.000$0.00$497.42
Will molodoy finish in the top 5 of the HLTV Top 20 Players of 2025? · Yes0.1540.000$0.00$12.32
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31? · No0.0350.000$0.00$133.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-19 02:45OKX IPO in 2026?BUY0.1596$79.80
03-19 02:45Discord IPO before 2027?BUY0.7876382979$370.19
03-19 02:35Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.19$76.00
03-12 18:52OKX IPO in 2026?BUY0.26$30.16
03-12 18:52Discord IPO before 2027?BUY0.826$82.60
03-02 02:27ChatGPT Outage by March 15?BUY0.4$6.00
03-02 02:24OKX IPO in 2026?BUY0.18$4.86
03-02 02:24Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7078768$176.97
02-24 04:57Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.79$158.00
02-23 16:55Will Elon Musk attend the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.78$171.60
02-23 16:54Will María Corina Machado attend the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.54$48.60
02-19 16:06Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?BUY0.8967345455$49.32
02-19 16:05Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?BUY0.7890688$394.53
02-19 03:05Discord IPO before 2027?SELL0.914$63.98
02-19 01:13Major CEX insolvent in 2026?BUY0.11$110.00