mistertuna
0x8febe0c389f5992b5fba544e9e63aa0997f68908
- Realised P&L
- $-6.7k
- Volume
- $92.6k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $755.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.582Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?
- +$556.58at 0.705Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
- +$439.00at 0.662Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
- +$360.91at 0.398Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
- +$270.00at 0.730Discord IPO in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-19 02:45 | OKX IPO in 2026? | BUY | 0.1596 | $79.80 |
| 03-19 02:45 | Discord IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.7876382979 | $370.19 |
| 03-19 02:35 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.19 | $76.00 |
| 03-12 18:52 | OKX IPO in 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $30.16 |
| 03-12 18:52 | Discord IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.826 | $82.60 |
| 03-02 02:27 | ChatGPT Outage by March 15? | BUY | 0.4 | $6.00 |
| 03-02 02:24 | OKX IPO in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $4.86 |
| 03-02 02:24 | Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7078768 | $176.97 |
| 02-24 04:57 | Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $158.00 |
| 02-23 16:55 | Will Elon Musk attend the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.78 | $171.60 |
| 02-23 16:54 | Will María Corina Machado attend the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.54 | $48.60 |
| 02-19 16:06 | Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BUY | 0.8967345455 | $49.32 |
| 02-19 16:05 | Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BUY | 0.7890688 | $394.53 |
| 02-19 03:05 | Discord IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.914 | $63.98 |
| 02-19 01:13 | Major CEX insolvent in 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $110.00 |