0x8FEAA7D8D6529D2fc6e6FA1D6bF470cF4c958F7
0x8feaa7d8d6529d2fc6e6fa1d6bf470cf4c958f7b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $33.0k
- Markets traded
- 233
- Open portfolio
- $17.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded233
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$867.86at 0.367Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
- +$175.76at 0.660Argentina wins Copa America 2024?
- +$139.49at 0.590Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?
- +$83.02at 0.430World Series: Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 3
- +$74.81at 0.553World Series: Dodgers vs. Yankees Game 1
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 16:55 | Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw? | BUY | 0.28 | $7.70 |
| 09-18 16:23 | Will FC UTA Arad vs. Sepsi OSK end in a draw? | BUY | 0.479999993 | $11.00 |
| 09-18 14:51 | Szczecin: Marco Cecchinato vs Marco Trungelliti | SELL | 0.21 | $0.95 |
| 09-18 14:23 | Szczecin: Marco Cecchinato vs Marco Trungelliti | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 02:44 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.7639999931 | $15.52 |
| 09-18 02:44 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers | SELL | 0.232 | $3.81 |
| 09-18 02:39 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.7459999403 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 02:23 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.8619999918 | $13.00 |
| 09-18 02:22 | Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-18 00:26 | Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.9029999964 | $5.59 |
| 09-18 00:23 | Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros | SELL | 0.225 | $0.79 |
| 09-17 23:58 | Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.2859999588 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 23:57 | Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 09-17 23:56 | Will CD Oriente Petrolero win on 2026-09-17? | SELL | 0.999 | $22.06 |
| 09-17 23:32 | Will CD Oriente Petrolero win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.9699999979 | $4.70 |