0x8fe641cec600fbec1d9a209592a3057249f2cf96
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $55.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.660 | $15.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.295 | $12.29 | −$0.21 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.290 | 0.285 | $12.28 | −$0.22 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.255 | $7.04 | +$1.24 |
| Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.280 | $4.67 | −$0.33 |
| Will Republicans win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.210 | $4.20 | −$0.80 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 23:24 | Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 23:20 | Will Republicans win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 23:20 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999971 | $5.80 |
| 10-31 23:19 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999976 | $12.50 |
| 10-31 23:18 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999921 | $15.00 |
| 10-31 23:16 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2899999951 | $12.50 |