btx85
0x8fe46258bfd2647cbaf1fd7f2e4fc422453f8c77
- Realised P&L
- $-9.69
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $450.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.840 | 0.999 | $259.61 | +$41.21 |
| Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.985 | $181.44 | +$32.16 |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.195 | $8.13 | −$1.87 |
| Will Augusto Cury finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.449 | 0.003 | $1.00 | −$149.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-9.69at 0.076Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
- +$-144.15at 0.420Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 00:23 | Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0085657143 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 23:33 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.26 |
| 10-04 14:44 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.81 | $48.50 |
| 10-04 14:41 | Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.84 | $218.40 |
| 10-04 14:38 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 14:38 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.0736970769 | $9.58 |
| 10-04 14:31 | Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3971078827 | $59.04 |
| 10-04 14:21 | Will Augusto Cury finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4487483815 | $150.00 |