FrancoOmer
0x8fe2ee01725f6a1006a4a60b111a063356891419
- Realised P&L
- $-519.11
- Volume
- $15.6k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $78.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? · Yes | 0.142 | 0.087 | $78.46 | −$49.54 |
| Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.257 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$95.00 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.295 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$118.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.07at 0.643Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$24.68at 0.138Will Yaron Zelekha be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?
- +$19.22at 0.549Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$13.93at 0.632Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$2.46at 0.972Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 04:46 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Finance? | SELL | 0.1321070553 | $101.26 |
| 10-28 04:20 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Finance? | BUY | 0.1734680913 | $30.04 |
| 10-27 21:46 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Finance? | BUY | 0.1685273331 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 21:46 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? | BUY | 0.1419332368 | $128.00 |
| 10-27 21:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | SELL | 0.9961825589 | $102.70 |
| 10-27 21:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999998 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 21:26 | Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.31 |
| 10-27 21:26 | Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.1198830369 | $17.53 |
| 10-27 21:24 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.62 | $168.21 |
| 10-27 21:08 | Will Together win 14-16 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.34 | $38.19 |
| 10-27 20:22 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.549180283 | $149.00 |
| 10-27 20:21 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.3509921082 | $149.44 |
| 10-27 18:11 | Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.4113508637 | $66.90 |
| 10-27 18:11 | Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.2412770059 | $66.34 |
| 10-27 18:02 | Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.3455254221 | $95.00 |