PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

anonymousey

0x8fdfee5665d897778fa894afaed2d8971ce0af9e

Realised P&L
$-27.0k
Volume
$1.88M
Markets traded
4,779
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,779
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3770.925$35.54+$21.07
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2150.870$27.96+$21.05
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes0.5700.845$22.24+$7.24
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026? · No0.1160.857$21.43+$18.52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes0.7000.955$20.47+$5.46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No0.7600.865$17.07+$2.07
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8140.935$16.90+$2.18
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30? · No0.8600.955$16.66+$1.66
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.7440.828$16.61+$1.69
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.7800.855$16.37+$1.43
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4800.530$16.22+$1.53
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6000.645$16.13+$1.13
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · No0.6300.695$16.04+$1.50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6700.725$15.76+$1.20
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · No0.8310.935$15.75+$1.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 11:05US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.52$4.82
09-19 04:11US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.76$4.93
09-19 03:35San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.42$4.38
09-19 01:41Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore OriolesBUY0.43$4.13
09-19 01:29Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.74$5.00
09-19 01:15Guadalajara Open Akron: Liudmila Samsonova vs Peyton StearnsBUY0.75$4.81
09-19 00:03Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado RockiesBUY0.38$1.95
09-18 22:41Sao Paulo Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Suzan LamensBUY0.45$4.59
09-18 21:25New York Yankees vs. Arizona DiamondbacksBUY0.51$4.81
09-18 18:29Caldas da Rainha: Susan Bandecchi vs Lisa PigatoBUY0.001$0.01
09-18 18:20Valencia: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Joelle SteurBUY0.21$1.94
09-18 18:17Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.88$4.89
09-18 16:21Caldas da Rainha: Jeline Vandromme vs Francisca JorgeBUY0.287$1.74
09-18 13:38Biella: Mika Brunold vs Carlo Alberto CaniatoBUY0.001$0.01
09-18 12:39Biella: Mika Brunold vs Carlo Alberto CaniatoBUY0.54$3.80