PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

2fef2

0x8fdbf8c91322e9440afd8416575b7d23435b96eb

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$65.7k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Nova? · Yes0.0970.475$1.0k+$833.84
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of December 2026? · No0.3990.635$182.95+$68.11
Will McKenna Grace be the live-action Gwen Stacy? · Yes0.1040.325$107.57+$73.18
Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 26M in October? · Yes0.2030.290$93.93+$28.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 04:37Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Nova?SELL0.35$29.76
10-03 04:36Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Nova?SELL0.45$15.96
10-03 04:36Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Nova?SELL0.2$10.00
10-03 04:35Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Nova?SELL0.36$30.53
10-03 04:35Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Nova?SELL0.39$13.83
10-03 04:35Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Nova?SELL0.1194444444$107.50
10-03 04:34Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Nova?SELL0.250477707$37.75
10-03 04:34Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Nova?BUY0.0973132894$345.39
10-03 04:31Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of December 2026?SELL0.515$10.30
10-03 04:23Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of December 2026?SELL0.64$50.12
10-03 04:22Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of December 2026?SELL0.62$12.40
10-03 04:20Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Flare?SELL0.2284898864$32.98
10-03 04:17Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?SELL0.46$52.88
10-03 04:17Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?SELL0.46$9.20
10-03 04:16Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?SELL0.47$28.67