TraxusIntel
0x8fd4f49624c380d580d436dc44ab2859782c9cf7
- Realised P&L
- $5.1k
- Volume
- $191.5k
- Markets traded
- 537
- Open portfolio
- $345.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded537
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Wizards (-4.5) · Wizards | 0.520 | 0.505 | $345.73 | −$10.27 |
| Jude Bellingham: Anytime Goalscorer · Yes | 0.337 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$148.25 |
| Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries · Golden State Valkyries | 0.474 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$964.69 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) · Chiefs | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$235.00 |
| Spread: Giants (-9.5) · Giants | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$124.00 |
| Emanuel Wilson: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$88.00 |
| Mike Evans: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.509 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$916.00 |
| Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer · Yes | 0.487 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$146.75 |
| Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner · LOUD | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$124.00 |
| Kimani Vidal: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$68.00 |
| Will Nashville SC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.265 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$106.00 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
| Colts vs. Chiefs · Colts | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$190.00 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) · Seahawks | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$78.00 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner · Hanwha Life Esports | 0.318 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.173Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.2kat 0.591Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer
- +$1.2kat 0.277Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$1.1kat 0.365Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$914.41at 0.347Knicks vs. Spurs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 11:11 | Spread: Wizards (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5199999997 | $356.00 |
| 10-21 01:37 | 76ers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.32 | $128.00 |
| 10-21 01:30 | 76ers vs. Knicks | SELL | 0.52 | $104.00 |
| 10-21 01:06 | 76ers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.35 | $70.00 |
| 10-20 21:14 | Celtics vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.5716511305 | $600.00 |
| 10-20 03:00 | Commanders vs. 49ers | BUY | 0.243023875 | $97.21 |
| 10-20 02:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 10-20 02:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 10-20 02:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | SELL | 0.9 | $259.25 |
| 10-20 02:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5378485996 | $25.00 |
| 10-20 02:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5276782102 | $25.00 |
| 10-20 02:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999908 | $25.00 |
| 10-20 02:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999908 | $25.00 |
| 10-20 02:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $25.00 |
| 10-20 02:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $25.00 |