0x8fd3985e16dda38402e519f11bf1369067fb53ce
0x8fd3985e16dda38402e519f11bf1369067fb53ce
- Realised P&L
- $9.89
- Volume
- $234.76
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $100.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.89at 0.434Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 20?
- +$2.82at 0.515Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 20?
- +$1.81at 0.625Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 20?
- +$1.38at 0.684Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 20?
- +$0.24at 0.919Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.7099999476 | $2.98 |
| 10-21 09:49 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 22? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.98 |
| 10-21 09:44 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 22? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.98 |
| 10-21 09:00 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.6199999501 | $2.98 |
| 10-21 08:59 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 21? | SELL | 0.996 | $0.18 |
| 10-21 08:59 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.86 |
| 10-21 07:03 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $0.07 |
| 10-21 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.98 |
| 10-21 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.5799999221 | $2.98 |
| 10-21 06:50 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.98 |
| 10-21 06:41 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $0.27 |
| 10-21 05:30 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $0.58 |
| 10-21 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 21? | SELL | 0.997 | $0.22 |
| 10-21 02:58 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.98 |
| 10-21 02:53 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 21? | SELL | 0.994 | $0.88 |