PolyBot

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Traders

0x8fd3985e16dda38402e519f11bf1369067fb53ce

0x8fd3985e16dda38402e519f11bf1369067fb53ce

Realised P&L
$9.89
Volume
$234.76
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$100.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 21? · Yes0.5300.989$5.47+$2.54
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 22? · Yes0.4120.655$4.73+$1.75
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 21? · No0.6400.998$4.57+$1.64
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 22? · No0.6700.925$4.09+$1.13
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 21? · No0.7200.990$4.07+$1.11
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 21? · No0.7300.986$4.01+$1.04
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 22? · No0.6200.745$3.58+$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 22? · Yes0.4400.530$3.51+$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 21? · No0.8600.973$3.37+$0.39
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 22? · No0.7100.800$3.36+$0.38
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 22? · Yes0.3200.360$3.35+$0.37
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 22? · No0.8700.964$3.30+$0.32
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 21? · No0.9301.000$3.20+$0.22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22? · Yes0.4910.530$3.14+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 22? · No0.8000.840$3.12+$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 10:00Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 21?BUY0.7099999476$2.98
10-21 09:49Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 22?BUY0.32$2.98
10-21 09:44Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 22?BUY0.75$2.98
10-21 09:00Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 22?BUY0.6199999501$2.98
10-21 08:59Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 21?SELL0.996$0.18
10-21 08:59Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 20?SELL0.999$2.86
10-21 07:03Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 21?SELL0.999$0.07
10-21 07:00Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 21?BUY0.76$2.98
10-21 06:51Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 22?BUY0.5799999221$2.98
10-21 06:50Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 21?BUY0.76$2.98
10-21 06:41Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 21?SELL0.999$0.27
10-21 05:30Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 21?SELL0.999$0.58
10-21 04:08Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 21?SELL0.997$0.22
10-21 02:58Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 21?BUY0.32$2.98
10-21 02:53Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 21?SELL0.994$0.88