0x8fd39534dcbc8500b59a4c4db1f3d57429e3e204
0x8fd39534dcbc8500b59a4c4db1f3d57429e3e204
- Realised P&L
- $-2.42
- Volume
- $61.74
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $1.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ACV win on 2026-09-22? · Yes | 0.780 | 1.000 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11PM ET · Up | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-17? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-22? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| XRP Up or Down - September 22, 5AM ET · Up | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-22? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-09-17? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.97at 0.510XRP Up or Down - September 22, 3AM ET
- +$0.85at 0.540XRP Up or Down - September 21, 9AM ET
- +$0.72at 0.520XRP Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET
- +$0.58at 0.639Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12AM ET
- +$0.49at 0.671Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 09:21 | XRP Up or Down - September 22, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 08:01 | XRP Up or Down - September 22, 3AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $2.02 |
| 09-22 07:05 | XRP Up or Down - September 22, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:43 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-22? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:36 | Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-22? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:29 | Will ACV win on 2026-09-22? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:00 | XRP Up or Down - September 21, 9AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.90 |
| 09-21 13:04 | XRP Up or Down - September 21, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 12:45 | XRP Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET | SELL | 0.89 | $1.78 |
| 09-21 11:54 | XRP Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 20:34 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.98 | $2.37 |
| 09-18 19:06 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 15:25 | Will FK Polissia win on 2026-09-18? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.17 |
| 09-18 13:29 | Will FK Polissia win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 13:03 | Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-09-18? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.24 |