PolyBot

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Traders

0x8fcec5074e7483ec0339528c239abb561b470a5b

0x8fcec5074e7483ec0339528c239abb561b470a5b

Realised P&L
$44.48
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$57.80

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration66.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 21:11France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0689999996$10.00
10-18 21:10Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?SELL0.961$156.06
10-16 21:00Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?BUY0.5799999915$21.86
10-16 16:09Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.86$22.83
10-14 18:04Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.6699999951$17.79
10-14 17:55Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?SELL0.56$18.36
10-14 17:55Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?SELL0.004$0.09
10-14 09:26Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?BUY0.64$11.34
10-14 09:25Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.061$12.20
10-08 21:10Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?BUY0.8599999997$124.42
10-08 21:06Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?SELL0.23$23.00
10-07 21:56Trump approval Up or Down this week?BUY0.7699999992$20.00
10-07 21:55Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?BUY0.6333498268$20.00
10-07 21:51Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?BUY0.4299999991$10.00
10-07 21:47Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.0899999993$10.00