dtyi
0x8fc7fe41a06a1b49439fd7215c6825ca4a4735f1
- Realised P&L
- $11.61
- Volume
- $41.6k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $31.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.960 | 0.954 | $31.47 | −$0.21 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.47at 0.926Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27?
- +$1.10at 0.638Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.84at 0.968Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4?
- +$0.64at 0.980Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13?
- +$0.58at 0.981Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 04:00 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.96 | $31.68 |
| 10-04 14:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.987 | $30.60 |
| 10-01 00:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.992 | $29.75 |
| 09-25 16:14 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.987 | $36.52 |
| 09-21 12:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.921 | $34.07 |
| 09-19 14:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 19? | BUY | 0.992 | $33.73 |
| 09-18 15:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.993 | $33.76 |
| 09-17 15:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $32.67 |
| 09-14 03:36 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.993 | $32.77 |
| 09-14 01:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13? | SELL | 0.999 | $32.97 |
| 09-13 07:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.978 | $32.27 |
| 09-10 15:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.995 | $31.84 |
| 09-09 15:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.993 | $31.78 |
| 09-07 14:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 7? | BUY | 0.996 | $31.87 |
| 09-06 15:43 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.98 | $30.38 |