0x8Fc7619A48f7Ca16f485bA6132d073892C38f7A8-1745143885347
0x8fc7619a48f7ca16f485ba6132d073892c38f7a8
- Realised P&L
- $-105.73
- Volume
- $14.9k
- Markets traded
- 824
- Open portfolio
- $25.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded824
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.846 | $11.92 | +$1.92 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.915 | $8.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on September 23, 2026? · No | 0.980 | 0.950 | $2.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.238 | 0.159 | $2.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.04at 0.875Will Leavitt say "Nuclear" or "Iran" during the next White House press briefing?
- +$9.38at 0.186Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 3PM ET
- +$8.64at 0.854Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?
- +$8.10at 0.080Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
- +$8.01at 0.800Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 11:50 | Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999922 | $8.00 |
| 09-22 11:49 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 11:49 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $3.00 |
| 09-03 22:21 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.955 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 22:21 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.8859999832 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 22:20 | Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $6.92 |
| 09-03 20:39 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.21 |
| 09-03 15:03 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 15:02 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.9699999935 | $3.00 |
| 09-03 04:32 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 04:30 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 04:30 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.9659996754 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 04:29 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.09 |
| 09-02 16:20 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.9539999828 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 16:19 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.00 |