fred3
0x8fc57962aeeb58c240535b314d20b77c0c439afb
- Realised P&L
- $-62.62
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $30.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.44at 0.527Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
- +$25.40at 0.306Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
- +$24.31at 0.296Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
- +$16.76at 0.547Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$13.32at 0.655Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 12:20 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.7699999993 | $11.00 |
| 10-12 09:38 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 09:37 | Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 09:37 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 21? | BUY | 0.2199999531 | $3.00 |
| 07-20 08:01 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.314 | $3.76 |
| 07-14 09:15 | Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3 | $22.11 |
| 07-04 19:45 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 19:45 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 06:00 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 05:59 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4169999748 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 05:58 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 5? | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 05:57 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 22:42 | Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2199999736 | $6.00 |
| 07-03 22:41 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.445 | $5.63 |