PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

fred3

0x8fc57962aeeb58c240535b314d20b77c0c439afb

Realised P&L
$-62.62
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$30.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.7700.775$11.07+$0.07
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17? · Yes0.7000.695$9.93−$0.07
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.2300.225$4.89−$0.11
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.245$4.71−$0.29
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6520.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4840.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$5.00
Troyes: Lorenzo Giustino vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes · Igor Ribeiro Marcondes0.6800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$5.00
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$22.11
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 5? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 12:20Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.7699999993$11.00
10-12 09:38Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.229999994$5.00
10-12 09:37Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?BUY0.2599999896$5.00
10-12 09:37Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.699999993$10.00
07-20 08:02Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 21?BUY0.2199999531$3.00
07-20 08:01Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?SELL0.314$3.76
07-14 09:15Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.3$22.11
07-04 19:45Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.3099999622$5.00
07-04 19:45Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.5399999903$10.00
07-04 06:00Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.5399999903$10.00
07-04 05:59Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.4169999748$5.00
07-04 05:58Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 5?BUY0.4599999595$5.00
07-04 05:57Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.5399999903$10.00
07-03 22:42Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?BUY0.2199999736$6.00
07-03 22:41Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?SELL0.445$5.63