PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

badatmath.

0x8fbd7cf5f806f563080864694415829f7229a959

Realised P&L
$42.7k
Volume
$8.43M
Markets traded
19,551
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19,551
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration83.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 24? · Yes0.2850.400$244.54+$70.12
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 23? · No0.2680.325$225.68+$39.56
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25? · Yes0.4720.515$207.03+$17.09
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on September 24? · Yes0.2290.255$206.68+$20.97
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 25? · Yes0.1930.260$205.38+$52.76
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 24? · Yes0.5730.580$194.14+$2.35
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 24? · Yes0.1490.155$191.60+$7.23
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 24? · Yes0.3530.365$188.67+$6.31
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 25? · Yes0.3240.305$175.99$11.19
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 24? · Yes0.1940.200$161.24+$4.65
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 25? · Yes0.3610.385$143.97+$8.97
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 24? · No0.6370.665$137.91+$5.86
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 25? · Yes0.2280.255$131.40+$14.05
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 24? · Yes0.4760.505$123.88+$6.97
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 25? · Yes0.2270.260$123.31+$15.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 15:49Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 24?BUY0.68$49.98
09-23 15:47Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 25?BUY0.79$16.59
09-23 15:46Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on September 25?BUY0.14$1.40
09-23 15:43Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 24?BUY0.22$7.04
09-23 15:40Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 24?BUY0.15$2.25
09-23 15:39Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 25?BUY0.71$14.91
09-23 15:35Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 24?BUY0.1$1.00
09-23 15:34Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 25?BUY0.71$14.91
09-23 15:31Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 25?BUY0.1$2.00
09-23 15:30Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 25?BUY0.71$14.91
09-23 15:29Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 25?BUY0.14$1.40
09-23 15:29Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 25?BUY0.13$0.65
09-23 15:28Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 24?BUY0.14$1.12
09-23 15:27Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 25?BUY0.11$2.20
09-23 15:26Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 25?BUY0.71$14.91