badatmath.
0x8fbd7cf5f806f563080864694415829f7229a959
- Realised P&L
- $42.7k
- Volume
- $8.43M
- Markets traded
- 19,551
- Open portfolio
- $4.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19,551
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.5kat 0.059Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?
- +$4.1kat 0.011Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 17?
- +$4.0kat 0.057Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 27?
- +$2.9kat 0.040Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?
- +$2.7kat 0.161Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 15:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.68 | $49.98 |
| 09-23 15:47 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.79 | $16.59 |
| 09-23 15:46 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 09-23 15:43 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.22 | $7.04 |
| 09-23 15:40 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.25 |
| 09-23 15:39 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.71 | $14.91 |
| 09-23 15:35 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.71 | $14.91 |
| 09-23 15:31 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 15:30 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.71 | $14.91 |
| 09-23 15:29 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 09-23 15:29 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 09-23 15:28 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.12 |
| 09-23 15:27 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 09-23 15:26 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.71 | $14.91 |