0x8faa60F16eEED622570f7f93C34C6Ae87ebeE72C-1747215076773
0x8faa60f16eeed622570f7f93c34c6ae87ebee72c
- Realised P&L
- $102.37
- Volume
- $48.8k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $274.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in November? · No | 0.920 | 0.915 | $274.13 | −$1.50 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November? · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.90 |
| Will Solana dip to $130 in November? · No | 0.754 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.18 |
| Will Solana dip to $140 in November? · No | 0.562 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.56 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November? · No | 0.725 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.63at 0.607Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$20.05at 0.719Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$13.57at 0.994Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$9.46at 0.924Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$9.05at 0.980Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-23 14:52 | Will StandX launch a token in 2025? | SELL | 0.00625 | $0.13 |
| 11-19 03:36 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November? | BUY | 0.62 | $8.68 |
| 11-07 02:28 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |