PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mot1a

0x8fa2a0ba11e56ad9f6743bf58bc77fc0987f5ed8

Realised P&L
$-7.59
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$4.67

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.6000.230$4.60$7.40
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? · Yes0.7580.001$0.07$99.18
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$8.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 16:59Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?SELL0.999$130.31
09-16 17:54Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?SELL0.999$49.95
09-15 18:45Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?BUY0.75$37.50
09-15 17:39Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.6$12.00
09-14 19:11Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.75$15.00
09-14 19:10Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.68$28.56
09-14 19:04Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.66$3.96
09-14 19:01Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.74$14.80
09-12 06:19Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?SELL0.0151575358$20.21
09-11 19:59Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?BUY0.046065858$27.40
09-11 19:59Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?BUY0.0426992775$20.00
09-11 19:38Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?BUY0.0447240935$8.99
09-11 19:11Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?BUY0.0469999994$3.00
09-11 19:09Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?BUY0.041$0.21
09-10 18:18Will White House post 200+ posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?SELL0.077314$11.60