mot1a
0x8fa2a0ba11e56ad9f6743bf58bc77fc0987f5ed8
- Realised P&L
- $-7.59
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $4.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.230 | $4.60 | −$7.40 |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? · Yes | 0.758 | 0.001 | $0.07 | −$99.18 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.85at 0.205Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?
- +$56.89at 0.563Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?
- +$23.26at 0.701Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
- +$18.28at 0.512Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?
- +$15.01at 0.502Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:59 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $130.31 |
| 09-16 17:54 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-15 18:45 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $37.50 |
| 09-15 17:39 | Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 09-14 19:11 | Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 09-14 19:10 | Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $28.56 |
| 09-14 19:04 | Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.96 |
| 09-14 19:01 | Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 09-12 06:19 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.0151575358 | $20.21 |
| 09-11 19:59 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.046065858 | $27.40 |
| 09-11 19:59 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.0426992775 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 19:38 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.0447240935 | $8.99 |
| 09-11 19:11 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.0469999994 | $3.00 |
| 09-11 19:09 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.041 | $0.21 |
| 09-10 18:18 | Will White House post 200+ posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.077314 | $11.60 |