El-Coronel
0x8f9da2aa10dda8eee8cb5b39cb18b575c1c71cb9
- Realised P&L
- $5.6k
- Volume
- $173.2k
- Markets traded
- 435
- Open portfolio
- $404.52
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded435
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.031Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
- +$353.88at 0.017Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$291.75at 0.023Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$267.17at 0.019Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
- +$228.26at 0.065Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 17:14 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.24 | $18.72 |
| 05-28 17:12 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.27 | $81.00 |
| 05-19 13:14 | Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.47875 | $47.88 |
| 05-19 12:37 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.065 | $9.75 |
| 04-16 03:32 | Will Igor Thiago be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season? | SELL | 0.1523645 | $9.14 |
| 04-02 05:00 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.026 | $5.20 |
| 03-27 05:59 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? | SELL | 0.696 | $28.19 |
| 03-23 13:59 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.009 | $2.25 |
| 03-23 13:58 | Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.013 | $3.25 |
| 03-23 13:58 | Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.01 | $2.50 |
| 03-02 06:47 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.009 | $1.80 |
| 03-02 06:43 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.17 |
| 02-26 13:43 | Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 02-26 13:43 | Will Jito be accused of insider trading? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.08 |
| 02-26 13:43 | Will Grayscale be accused of insider trading? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.67 |