PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

456745867

0x8f99942df6ae713f184eb807ce1d5716465608e7

Realised P&L
$128.12
Volume
$15.0k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$148.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? · No0.8820.885$57.52+$0.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? · No0.9300.925$46.25−$0.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? · No0.8210.805$44.27−$0.87
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$2.54
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$2.54
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$2.54
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$2.54
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$2.54
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$2.54
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? · Yes0.2190.000$0.00−$21.00
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$2.54
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$2.54
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$2.54
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$2.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 09:33Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?BUY0.89$13.35
10-01 09:33Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?BUY0.83$4.15
09-10 04:10Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?BUY0.966$521.64
09-10 04:10Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?BUY0.947$285.15
07-14 15:50Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?BUY0.986$227.00
07-11 15:06Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?BUY0.993$101.34
07-11 15:00Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?BUY0.95$95.33
07-11 14:59Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?BUY0.986$197.39
07-11 14:59Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?BUY0.982$0.18
07-11 14:56Will Bitcoin dip to $37,500 in July?SELL0.998$499.00
07-02 14:43Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July?BUY0.991$297.48
07-02 14:42Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?BUY0.985$197.21
06-15 15:42Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?BUY0.962$144.68
06-03 06:17US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY0.96$96.00
06-03 06:15Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?BUY0.91$91.00