456745867
0x8f99942df6ae713f184eb807ce1d5716465608e7
- Realised P&L
- $128.12
- Volume
- $15.0k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $148.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$147.46at 0.017Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$61.00at 0.390Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- +$59.77at 0.402Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
- +$47.50at 0.513Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
- +$31.50at 0.910Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 09:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? | BUY | 0.89 | $13.35 |
| 10-01 09:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 09-10 04:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September? | BUY | 0.966 | $521.64 |
| 09-10 04:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September? | BUY | 0.947 | $285.15 |
| 07-14 15:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July? | BUY | 0.986 | $227.00 |
| 07-11 15:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July? | BUY | 0.993 | $101.34 |
| 07-11 15:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.33 |
| 07-11 14:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July? | BUY | 0.986 | $197.39 |
| 07-11 14:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July? | BUY | 0.982 | $0.18 |
| 07-11 14:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $37,500 in July? | SELL | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 07-02 14:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July? | BUY | 0.991 | $297.48 |
| 07-02 14:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July? | BUY | 0.985 | $197.21 |
| 06-15 15:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? | BUY | 0.962 | $144.68 |
| 06-03 06:17 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $96.00 |
| 06-03 06:15 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $91.00 |