nostragemini
0x8f93236fb6d589e30dc519784add4c3d31dbf75c
- Realised P&L
- $-776.84
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 645
- Open portfolio
- $205.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded645
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.98at 0.716Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?
- +$25.03at 0.249Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 31?
- +$24.13at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 30?
- +$22.94at 0.472Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 31?
- +$16.85at 0.380Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 11:54 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.2533767306 | $30.00 |
| 10-11 11:53 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.6078291785 | $70.00 |
| 10-11 11:47 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.331340956 | $43.50 |
| 10-11 11:46 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 10-11 11:46 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.4991315112 | $60.00 |
| 09-29 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.3399999773 | $4.50 |
| 09-29 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.4799999721 | $5.50 |
| 09-29 06:22 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.4199999888 | $4.50 |
| 09-29 06:22 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.4899999911 | $5.50 |
| 09-29 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.3699999935 | $4.00 |
| 09-29 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $6.00 |
| 09-29 06:19 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $4.00 |
| 09-29 06:19 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $6.00 |