0x8f8883ecf250d19cef876e6be32188b27f2bca10
0x8f8883ecf250d19cef876e6be32188b27f2bca10
- Realised P&L
- $48.2k
- Volume
- $1.35M
- Markets traded
- 2,314
- Open portfolio
- $52.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded2,314
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration45.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will América FC win on 2026-09-28? · No | 0.570 | 1.000 | $52.63 | +$22.63 |
| Will Jamaica win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.255 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will América FC vs. EC Juventude end in a draw? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.68 |
| Will Guatemala vs. El Salvador end in a draw? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Will Honduras win on 2026-09-28? · No | 0.494 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will Tunisia vs. Botswana end in a draw? · No | 0.642 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$203.93 |
| Will Suriname win on 2026-09-28? · No | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.566 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$310.96 |
| Will Guatemala win on 2026-09-28? · No | 0.298 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$304.21 |
| Will Internacional FC De Palmira win on 2026-09-28? · No | 0.214 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$902.07 |
| Will Suriname vs. Martinique end in a draw? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$153.21 |
| Will El Salvador win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.5kat 0.386Will SSC Napoli vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?
- +$4.7kat 0.131Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-22?
- +$2.8kat 0.082Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-09-11?
- +$2.6kat 0.093Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-29?
- +$2.4kat 0.503Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 13:15 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | SELL | 0.66 | $599.94 |
| 09-19 14:05 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.22 | $229.90 |
| 09-18 19:14 | Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-18? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.2k |
| 09-18 19:13 | Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-18? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.1k |
| 09-14 18:14 | Will Norrby IF vs. Varbergs BoIS end in a draw? | BUY | 0.59 | $90.77 |
| 09-14 18:14 | Will Norrby IF vs. Varbergs BoIS end in a draw? | BUY | 0.59 | $95.16 |
| 09-13 13:37 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13? | SELL | 0.27 | $500.04 |
| 09-13 13:37 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13? | SELL | 0.27 | $221.92 |
| 09-13 13:27 | Will US Lecce win on 2026-09-13? | SELL | 0.21276492 | $531.91 |
| 09-13 13:26 | Will US Lecce win on 2026-09-13? | SELL | 0.2 | $400.00 |
| 09-12 20:19 | Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.9k |
| 09-11 19:42 | Will Burgos CF vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.21 | $47.94 |
| 09-05 14:57 | Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-09-05? | SELL | 0.71 | $482.80 |
| 09-01 20:56 | Will AC Monza win on 2026-09-01? | BUY | 0.53889989 | $489.86 |
| 08-30 16:46 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.36 | $9.00 |