PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gesoos

0x8f7856760e239d987edb7ae2e0dd583711351141

Realised P&L
$-648.76
Volume
$61.1k
Markets traded
389
Open portfolio
$943.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded389
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7300.600$584.52$126.54
Will Nous Research launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9590.969$212.64+$2.19
Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.6570.295$56.99$70.02
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.1480.095$47.50$26.50
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.7040.151$19.69$71.76
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027? · Yes0.5630.570$18.39+$0.23
Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.5600.044$4.23$48.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 13:14Tread FDV above $300M one day after launchSELL0.0066361323$1.04
09-16 13:13Tread FDV above $80M one day after launchSELL0.0783333333$4.70
09-13 20:39Tread FDV above $80M one day after launchBUY0.22$13.20
09-12 10:45US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.697$27.88
09-12 10:43US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6956333973$72.48
09-11 07:57Tread FDV above $40M one day after launchBUY0.4074645434$16.38
09-10 07:41Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?BUY0.2498570948$29.72
09-08 19:47Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?BUY0.5630151844$18.17
09-08 19:43Will Nous Research launch a token by September 30, 2027?SELL0.84$165.34
09-05 12:36Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.18$10.80
09-05 08:51Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.15$9.00
08-31 15:36Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?SELL0.07$4.20
08-31 15:21Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?BUY0.2$12.00
08-31 13:54Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.46$96.60
08-30 20:32Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?BUY0.15$3.77