0x8f780cF069C56408978Ee61bB87Ef76d47D802F0-1778620508896
0x8f780cf069c56408978ee61bb87ef76d47d802f0
- Realised P&L
- $-104.36
- Volume
- $8.0k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $1.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.006 | $1.64 | −$1.36 |
| Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on May 13? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 13? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on May 13? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on May 13? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.135 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-5.00at 0.057Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 21:58 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1129999836 | $6.00 |
| 06-12 22:02 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1059999853 | $6.00 |
| 05-15 13:37 | Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 05-15 13:35 | Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0109999964 | $3.00 |
| 05-14 19:33 | Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0190000001 | $10.00 |
| 05-13 12:32 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 13? | BUY | 0.0568848133 | $5.00 |
| 05-12 22:09 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on May 13? | BUY | 0.0090909091 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 22:09 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on May 13? | BUY | 0.0015398158 | $3.00 |
| 05-12 22:08 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 13? | BUY | 0.0174584425 | $3.00 |
| 05-12 21:51 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on May 13? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 05-12 21:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $3.00 |
| 05-12 21:32 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.00 |
| 05-12 21:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? | BUY | 0.0439999958 | $10.00 |
| 05-12 21:24 | Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.1349999978 | $50.00 |