PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8f780cF069C56408978Ee61bB87Ef76d47D802F0-1778620508896

0x8f780cf069c56408978ee61bb87ef76d47d802f0

Realised P&L
$-104.36
Volume
$8.0k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$1.64

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0110.006$1.64$1.36
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$11.00
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on May 13? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$3.00
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 13? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$3.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00$12.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$3.00
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$10.00
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on May 13? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on May 13? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$3.00
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.1350.000$0.00$50.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-14 21:58Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1129999836$6.00
06-12 22:02Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1059999853$6.00
05-15 13:37Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0179999825$1.00
05-15 13:35Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0109999964$3.00
05-14 19:33Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0190000001$10.00
05-13 12:32Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 13?BUY0.0568848133$5.00
05-12 22:09Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on May 13?BUY0.0090909091$1.00
05-12 22:09Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on May 13?BUY0.0015398158$3.00
05-12 22:08Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 13?BUY0.0174584425$3.00
05-12 21:51Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on May 13?BUY0.001$3.00
05-12 21:35Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.006$3.00
05-12 21:32Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?BUY0.003$2.00
05-12 21:30Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?BUY0.0439999958$10.00
05-12 21:24Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.1349999978$50.00