tanzg
0x8f5aa74637188fba7d30adb6ea92b852df12c586
- Realised P&L
- $234.30
- Volume
- $26.1k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $591.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No | 0.415 | 1.000 | $569.72 | +$333.12 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · Yes | 0.335 | 0.170 | $16.32 | −$15.84 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.125 | $5.63 | −$9.68 |
| Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$165.60at 0.640Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?
- +$0.00at 0.750Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
- +$-118.00at 0.820Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-10 07:36 | Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | BUY | 0.39 | $15.60 |
| 11-14 01:55 | Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8 | $4.7k |
| 11-12 08:13 | Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people? | BUY | 0.75 | $4.8k |
| 10-29 08:58 | Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher? | BUY | 0.64 | $294.40 |