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Traders

MeganSimpson6814

0x8f525273bb48c9d8a5cedafa31acc9072357a35a

Realised P&L
$844.78
Volume
$254.2k
Markets traded
325
Open portfolio
$101.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded325
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.9020.954$97.26+$5.28
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · No0.7100.525$2.10−$0.74
Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.8400.990$0.99+$0.15
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · No0.5400.275$0.28−$0.27
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · No0.4900.215$0.21−$0.28
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026? · Yes0.2020.029$0.17−$1.00
Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1300.057$0.06−$0.07
Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.2500.050$0.05−$0.20
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes0.1600.001$0.00−$0.16
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$29.12
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$1.25
Will WOLF win the Orderly trading competition? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$3.30
Will Elon and DOGE cut 100-150k employees in 2025? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$2.05
Will MrBeast hit 104 billion views by December 31? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$0.16
Trove FDV above $60M one day after launch? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$45.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-11 10:23Anduril IPO before 2027?SELL0.62$182.28
03-11 09:48Will Junaid Ahmed be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?SELL0.59$273.17
03-11 03:15Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?SELL0.73$261.34
03-10 12:35Anduril IPO before 2027?SELL0.71$7.10
03-10 09:51Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?SELL0.19$68.40
03-06 13:57Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?BUY0.15$54.00
03-06 13:51Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?BUY0.72$257.76
03-06 13:25Anduril IPO before 2027?BUY0.73$221.92
03-06 12:16Will Junaid Ahmed be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?BUY0.81$375.03
02-20 02:46Revolut IPO before 2027?SELL0.75$35.25
02-16 11:52Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?SELL0.9$162.00
02-15 23:26Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?SELL0.54$14.04
02-15 20:49Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?BUY0.89$160.20
02-15 20:45Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.56$14.56
02-14 00:23Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?SELL0.19$3.04