MeganSimpson6814
0x8f525273bb48c9d8a5cedafa31acc9072357a35a
- Realised P&L
- $844.78
- Volume
- $254.2k
- Markets traded
- 325
- Open portfolio
- $101.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded325
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$489.53at 0.502Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce
- +$250.80at 0.760Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5
- +$244.30at 0.280Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?
- +$142.68at 0.710Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?
- +$128.46at 0.420Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-11 10:23 | Anduril IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.62 | $182.28 |
| 03-11 09:48 | Will Junaid Ahmed be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08? | SELL | 0.59 | $273.17 |
| 03-11 03:15 | Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal? | SELL | 0.73 | $261.34 |
| 03-10 12:35 | Anduril IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 03-10 09:51 | Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31? | SELL | 0.19 | $68.40 |
| 03-06 13:57 | Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $54.00 |
| 03-06 13:51 | Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal? | BUY | 0.72 | $257.76 |
| 03-06 13:25 | Anduril IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.73 | $221.92 |
| 03-06 12:16 | Will Junaid Ahmed be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08? | BUY | 0.81 | $375.03 |
| 02-20 02:46 | Revolut IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.75 | $35.25 |
| 02-16 11:52 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $162.00 |
| 02-15 23:26 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | SELL | 0.54 | $14.04 |
| 02-15 20:49 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $160.20 |
| 02-15 20:45 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.56 | $14.56 |
| 02-14 00:23 | Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.04 |