PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

x - 19900

0x8f51d37dfaf6076384e70cbdebf3d8911d2f787b

Realised P&L
$-839.19
Volume
$150.9k
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$774.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · No0.1470.325$675.76+$369.46
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0170.018$49.92+$3.15
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0330.022$33.75$15.75
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0070.002$6.00$22.00
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0070.002$3.75$13.75
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0080.001$2.50$37.50
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0070.001$1.25$16.25
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? · Yes0.5950.040$1.07$15.00
Will France win the World Cup? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 22:47Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?SELL0.22$89.39
07-19 22:31Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.4400533182$77.58
07-19 22:31Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.42$96.60
07-04 22:48Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.007$7.00
07-04 22:48Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.007$10.50
07-04 22:48Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.008$16.00
07-04 22:48Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.033$19.80
07-04 22:48Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.018$16.20
07-04 22:48Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.89$4.45
07-04 22:47Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.007$17.50
07-04 22:47Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.007$10.50
07-04 22:47Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.007$17.50
07-04 22:47Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.008$24.00
07-04 22:47Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.033$29.70
07-04 22:47Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.017$30.58